In a significant shift just weeks before the 2024 election, Republican Senate candidate Sam Brown has surged in the polls, tightening the race against Democratic Sen. Jacky Rosen in Nevada.
At a Glance:
- A Rasmussen Reports/American Thinker poll shows Sam Brown closing the gap on Sen. Jacky Rosen, with a 7-point swing in his favor since September.
- Rosen now holds a narrow 47% to 44% lead over Brown, down from a 10-point lead in September.
- The shift comes as Brown gains momentum with men, holding a 47% to 45% lead, while Rosen leads among women 49% to 42%.
According to the latest poll from Rasmussen Reports and American Thinker, Republican candidate Sam Brown has gained significant ground in Nevada’s Senate race, with a 7-point swing toward his campaign since September. The poll of 748 likely voters, conducted from October 9-14, shows Brown trailing incumbent Sen. Jacky Rosen by just three points, 47% to 44%, a stark contrast from the 50% to 40% lead Rosen held in September.
The poll also shows a gender divide, with Brown holding a slight edge among men, 47% to 45%, while Rosen leads comfortably among women, 49% to 42%. Brown’s recent surge has been attributed to strong debate performances and effective messaging on key issues like women’s sports, housing affordability, and immigration.
During the candidates’ debate, Brown attacked Rosen for her failure to protect women’s sports and criticized her for being out of touch with everyday Nevadans, labeling her an “elitist.” He also drew attention to Rosen’s violations of the STOCK Act, which mandates timely reporting of stock trades by public officials. Rosen largely defended her track record in the Senate, focusing on her legislative accomplishments and roots in Nevada.
Immigration and border security also emerged as key issues in the debate, with Brown taking a hardline stance on border security, contrasting with Rosen’s more measured approach. Brown accused Rosen of prioritizing her own security over that of the American people, referencing the security measures in her own neighborhood compared to the situation at the southern border.
Rasmussen also gauged the state of the presidential race in Nevada, finding that former President Donald Trump leads Vice President Kamala Harris by two points, 49% to 47%. The poll shows that Trump’s lead comes largely from male voters, with a 51% to 46% advantage. Women are virtually split, with 48% supporting Harris and 47% backing Trump.
Brown’s surge in the Nevada Senate race mirrors Trump’s momentum in the state. With Election Day fast approaching, both races remain highly competitive, and Brown’s growing support could help Republicans secure a crucial Senate seat in a tight national race for control of Congress.
While Rosen maintains a narrow lead, Brown’s recent gains suggest the race is far from decided, and the outcome could hinge on the final push in the weeks ahead.